SM
| Current Group H Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Slovenia | 7 | 10 | 16 |
| 2 | Denmark | 7 | 9 | 16 |
| 3 | Finland | 7 | 4 | 12 |
| 4 | Kazakhstan | 7 | 2 | 12 |
| 5 | Northern Ireland | 7 | -1 | 6 |
| 6 | San Marino | 7 | -24 | 0 |
| Current Group H Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Slovenia | 7 | 10 | 16 |
| 2 | Denmark | 7 | 9 | 16 |
| 3 | Finland | 7 | 4 | 12 |
| 4 | Kazakhstan | 7 | 2 | 12 |
| 5 | Northern Ireland | 7 | -1 | 6 |
| 6 | San Marino | 7 | -24 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Denmark win with a probability of 95.48%. A draw had a probability of 3.8% and a win for San Marino had a probability of 0.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Denmark win was 0-3 with a probability of 16.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-4 (15.52%) and 0-2 (13.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (1.9%), while for a San Marino win it was 1-0 (0.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Denmark would win this match.
| Result | ||
| San Marino | Draw | Denmark |
0.69% ( 0.08) | 3.83% ( 0.02) | 95.48% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 19.38% ( 2.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 75.64% ( 1.23) | 24.36% ( -1.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 55.93% ( 1.61) | 44.07% ( -1.61) |
| San Marino Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 19.85% ( 2.31) | 80.15% ( -2.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 2.11% ( 0.48) | 97.88% ( -0.48) |
| Denmark Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 97.63% ( 0.13) | 2.37% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 88.76% ( 0.47) | 11.24% ( -0.47) |
| Score Analysis |
| San Marino | Draw | Denmark |
| Other @ 0.69% Total : 0.69% | 0-0 @ 1.9% ( -0.16) 1-1 @ 1.57% ( 0.11)Other @ 0.36% Total : 3.83% | 0-3 @ 16.59% ( -0.65) 0-4 @ 15.52% ( -0.38)0-2 @ 13.3% ( -0.72)0-5 @ 11.61% ( -0.12)0-6 @ 7.25% ( 0.03)0-1 @ 7.11% ( -0.49)0-7 @ 3.87% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 3.67% ( 0.35)1-4 @ 3.44% ( 0.37)1-2 @ 2.94% ( 0.24)1-5 @ 2.57% ( 0.31)0-8 @ 1.81% ( 0.06)1-6 @ 1.6% ( 0.21)Other @ 4.18% Total : 95.47% |
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