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Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Mar 26, 2023 at 2pm UK
 
DN

Kazakhstan
3 - 2
Denmark

Zainutdinov (73' pen.), Tagybergen (86'), Aymbetov (89')
Aymbetov (90'), Shatskiy (90+4')
Aymbetov (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Hojlund (21', 35')
Hojlund (90+3'), Hojlund (90+3')

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Kazakhstan 1-2 Slovenia
Thursday, March 23 at 3pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Denmark 3-1 Finland
Thursday, March 23 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

We said: Kazakhstan 1-2 Denmark

All four previous matches between these nations have ended in the same outcome; victory for Denmark - with Kazakhstan sitting 98 places below their imminent visitors, there is not a great deal of evidence to suggest their losing streak in this fixture will come to an end on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Denmark win with a probability of 65.93%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Kazakhstan had a probability of 14.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Denmark win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.41%) and 1-2 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.49%), while for a Kazakhstan win it was 1-0 (4.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.

Result
KazakhstanDrawDenmark
14.11% (0.174 0.17) 19.96% (0.077000000000002 0.08) 65.93% (-0.253 -0.25)
Both teams to score 49.28% (0.199 0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.26% (0.027000000000001 0.03)44.74% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.9% (0.024999999999999 0.02)67.1% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Kazakhstan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.46% (0.27 0.27)43.54% (-0.272 -0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.26% (0.227 0.23)79.74% (-0.22799999999999 -0.23)
Denmark Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.29% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)12.71% (0.062999999999999 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.06% (-0.134 -0.13)38.94% (0.131 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Kazakhstan 14.11%
    Denmark 65.92%
    Draw 19.96%
KazakhstanDrawDenmark
1-0 @ 4.6% (0.029 0.03)
2-1 @ 3.95% (0.045 0.04)
2-0 @ 1.91% (0.027 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.13% (0.019 0.02)
3-1 @ 1.09% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 1.42%
Total : 14.11%
1-1 @ 9.49% (0.036 0.04)
0-0 @ 5.54% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.07% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 19.96%
0-2 @ 11.77% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-1 @ 11.41% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
1-2 @ 9.79% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
0-3 @ 8.1% (-0.068 -0.07)
1-3 @ 6.73% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-4 @ 4.17% (-0.045 -0.04)
1-4 @ 3.47% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.8% (0.018 0.02)
0-5 @ 1.72% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.44% (0.006 0.01)
1-5 @ 1.43% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 65.92%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Kazakhstan 1-2 Slovenia
Thursday, March 23 at 3pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: UAE 2-1 Kazakhstan
Saturday, November 19 at 3.30pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Uzbekistan 2-0 Kazakhstan
Wednesday, November 16 at 1pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Azerbaijan 3-0 Kazakhstan
Sunday, September 25 at 5pm in Nations League
Last Game: Kazakhstan 2-1 Belarus
Thursday, September 22 at 3pm in Nations League
Last Game: Kazakhstan 2-1 Slovakia
Monday, June 13 at 3pm in Nations League
Last Game: Denmark 3-1 Finland
Thursday, March 23 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Australia 1-0 Denmark
Wednesday, November 30 at 3pm in World Cup
Last Game: France 2-1 Denmark
Saturday, November 26 at 4pm in World Cup
Last Game: Denmark 0-0 Tunisia
Tuesday, November 22 at 1pm in World Cup
Last Game: Denmark 2-0 France
Sunday, September 25 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Croatia 2-1 Denmark
Thursday, September 22 at 7.45pm in Nations League


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