Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 49.01%. A win for Palmeiras had a probability of 25.6% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 2-0 (8.94%). The likeliest Palmeiras win was 0-1 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.
