Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 47.04%. A win for Internacional had a probability of 27.01% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (8.65%). The likeliest Internacional win was 0-1 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.