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AP
Brasileiro | Gameweek 30
Jan 17, 2021 at 7pm UK
Arena da Baixada
SP

Athletico PR
1 - 1
Sao Paulo

Kayzer (39')
Canesin (80'), Eduardo (84')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Tche (61')
Arboleda (46')
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Athletico Paranaense and Sao Paulo.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 38.6%. A win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 33.99% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.2%) and 0-2 (7.02%). The likeliest Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 (10.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.

Result
Athletico ParanaenseDrawSao Paulo
33.99%27.41%38.6%
Both teams to score 49.42%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.85%56.15%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.79%77.21%
Athletico Paranaense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.9%31.1%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.57%67.43%
Sao Paulo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.74%28.27%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.02%63.98%
Score Analysis
    Athletico Paranaense 33.98%
    Sao Paulo 38.59%
    Draw 27.41%
Athletico ParanaenseDrawSao Paulo
1-0 @ 10.26%
2-1 @ 7.58%
2-0 @ 6%
3-1 @ 2.95%
3-0 @ 2.33%
3-2 @ 1.86%
Other @ 3%
Total : 33.98%
1-1 @ 12.97%
0-0 @ 8.79%
2-2 @ 4.79%
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 27.41%
0-1 @ 11.1%
1-2 @ 8.2%
0-2 @ 7.02%
1-3 @ 3.45%
0-3 @ 2.96%
2-3 @ 2.02%
1-4 @ 1.09%
0-4 @ 0.93%
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 38.59%

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