SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sarpsborg 08 win with a probability of 39.61%. A win for Tromso IL had a probability of 36.15% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sarpsborg 08 win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.62%) and 2-0 (5.88%). The likeliest Tromso IL win was 1-2 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Sarpsborg 08 in this match.
| Result | ||
| Sarpsborg 08 | Draw | Tromso IL |
39.61% ( 0.01) | 24.24% ( 0.2) | 36.15% ( -0.21) |
| Both teams to score 60.46% ( -0.78) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.86% ( -1) | 42.14% ( 1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.46% ( -1.01) | 64.54% ( 1.01) |
| Sarpsborg 08 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.64% ( -0.43) | 21.36% ( 0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.66% ( -0.67) | 54.34% ( 0.67) |
| Tromso IL Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.89% ( -0.57) | 23.11% ( 0.57) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.03% ( -0.84) | 56.97% ( 0.84) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sarpsborg 08 | Draw | Tromso IL |
| 2-1 @ 8.62% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 7.62% ( 0.24)2-0 @ 5.88% ( 0.11)3-1 @ 4.43% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 3.25% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 3.03% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.71% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.25% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 1.17% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.65% Total : 39.61% | 1-1 @ 11.16% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 6.31% ( -0.09)0-0 @ 4.94% ( 0.22)3-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.24% | 1-2 @ 8.18% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.23% ( 0.2)0-2 @ 5.3% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 3.99% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 3.08% ( -0.1)0-3 @ 2.59% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.46% ( -0.05)2-4 @ 1.13% ( -0.06)0-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.25% Total : 36.15% |
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