SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sarpsborg 08 win with a probability of 60.31%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Tromso IL had a probability of 19.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sarpsborg 08 win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.04%) and 1-0 (8.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.45%), while for a Tromso IL win it was 1-2 (5.17%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sarpsborg 08 would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sarpsborg 08 | Draw | Tromso IL |
60.31% ( 0.18) | 20.58% ( -0.05) | 19.11% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 58.35% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.79% ( 0.07) | 38.21% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.51% ( 0.07) | 60.49% ( -0.07) |
| Sarpsborg 08 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.68% ( 0.07) | 12.32% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.89% ( 0.15) | 38.11% ( -0.15) |
| Tromso IL Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.55% ( -0.08) | 33.45% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.91% ( -0.09) | 70.08% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sarpsborg 08 | Draw | Tromso IL |
| 2-1 @ 9.89% 2-0 @ 9.04% ( 0.02)1-0 @ 8.63% ( -0)3-1 @ 6.91% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 6.31% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 3.78% ( 0)4-1 @ 3.62% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 3.3% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.98% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.52% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.38% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.96% Total : 60.31% | 1-1 @ 9.45% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.42% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.12% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.38% ( -0)Other @ 0.22% Total : 20.58% | 1-2 @ 5.17% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 4.51% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 2.47% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 0.9% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.19% Total : 19.11% |
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