SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sarpsborg 08 win with a probability of 47.99%. A win for Tromso IL had a probability of 27.92% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sarpsborg 08 win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.23%) and 0-2 (7.74%). The likeliest Tromso IL win was 2-1 (6.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Tromso IL | Draw | Sarpsborg 08 |
27.92% ( -1.31) | 24.09% ( -0.06) | 47.99% ( 1.38) |
| Both teams to score 57.35% ( -0.72) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.37% ( -0.53) | 44.63% ( 0.53) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33% ( -0.52) | 67% ( 0.52) |
| Tromso IL Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.56% ( -1.2) | 29.44% ( 1.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.56% ( -1.49) | 65.44% ( 1.49) |
| Sarpsborg 08 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.28% ( 0.35) | 18.72% ( -0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.92% ( 0.58) | 50.08% ( -0.58) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tromso IL | Draw | Sarpsborg 08 |
| 2-1 @ 6.9% ( -0.23) 1-0 @ 6.74% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 4.12% ( -0.18)3-1 @ 2.81% ( -0.19)3-2 @ 2.36% ( -0.13)3-0 @ 1.68% ( -0.14)Other @ 3.31% Total : 27.92% | 1-1 @ 11.29% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.78% ( -0.13)0-0 @ 5.51% ( 0.13)3-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.09% | 1-2 @ 9.46% ( 0.11) 0-1 @ 9.23% ( 0.31)0-2 @ 7.74% ( 0.34)1-3 @ 5.28% ( 0.12)0-3 @ 4.32% ( 0.24)2-3 @ 3.23% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 2.21% ( 0.07)0-4 @ 1.81% ( 0.12)2-4 @ 1.35% Other @ 3.34% Total : 47.99% |
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