SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Viking FK win with a probability of 44.61%. A win for Sarpsborg 08 had a probability of 33.21% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Viking FK win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.83%) and 0-2 (5.46%). The likeliest Sarpsborg 08 win was 2-1 (7.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Viking FK would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sarpsborg 08 | Draw | Viking FK |
33.21% ( -0.65) | 22.18% ( 0.07) | 44.61% ( 0.59) |
| Both teams to score 67.49% ( -0.52) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.36% ( -0.58) | 32.64% ( 0.58) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.69% ( -0.67) | 54.31% ( 0.68) |
| Sarpsborg 08 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.74% ( -0.6) | 20.27% ( 0.61) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.39% ( -0.97) | 52.62% ( 0.98) |
| Viking FK Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.65% ( -0) | 15.36% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.88% ( -0.02) | 44.13% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sarpsborg 08 | Draw | Viking FK |
| 2-1 @ 7.43% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 4.97% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 3.97% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 3.95% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 3.7% ( -0.1)3-0 @ 2.11% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 1.58% ( -0.07)4-2 @ 1.48% ( -0.07)4-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.11% Total : 33.21% | 1-1 @ 9.31% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 6.96% ( -0.05)0-0 @ 3.11% ( 0.1)3-3 @ 2.31% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.49% Total : 22.18% | 1-2 @ 8.72% ( 0.1) 0-1 @ 5.83% ( 0.18)0-2 @ 5.46% ( 0.16)1-3 @ 5.45% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 4.35% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 3.41% ( 0.1)1-4 @ 2.55% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 2.04% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.6% ( 0.05)3-4 @ 1.08% ( -0.03)1-5 @ 0.96% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.17% Total : 44.61% |
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