Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tromso IL win with a probability of 50.57%. A win for Sarpsborg 08 had a probability of 24.77% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tromso IL win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.56%) and 2-0 (8.98%). The likeliest Sarpsborg 08 win was 0-1 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
