Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 53.8%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Palermo had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.75%) and 2-0 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.3%), while for a Palermo win it was 0-1 (6.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sassuolo would win this match.
-0.12) 
0.07) 
