SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Schalke 04 win with a probability of 43.09%. A win for Fortuna Dusseldorf had a probability of 33.74% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Schalke 04 win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.84%) and 2-0 (5.9%). The likeliest Fortuna Dusseldorf win was 1-2 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Schalke 04 | Draw | Fortuna Dusseldorf |
43.09% ( -0.13) | 23.18% ( 0.01) | 33.74% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 63.87% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.54% ( -0.01) | 37.45% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.32% ( -0.01) | 59.68% ( 0.01) |
| Schalke 04 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.14% ( -0.06) | 17.85% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.38% ( -0.1) | 48.62% ( 0.1) |
| Fortuna Dusseldorf Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.75% ( 0.06) | 22.25% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.31% ( 0.1) | 55.69% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Schalke 04 | Draw | Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 2-1 @ 8.86% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.84% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 5.9% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 5.09% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.82% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.39% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.19% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.65% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.46% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.89% Total : 43.09% | 1-1 @ 10.28% 2-2 @ 6.66% ( 0)0-0 @ 3.97% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.92% ( 0)Other @ 0.34% Total : 23.17% | 1-2 @ 7.73% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 5.97% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.49% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 3.87% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 3.34% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.25% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.46% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.25% ( 0)Other @ 3.39% Total : 33.74% |
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