With key players injured or short of fitness - notably Napoli pair Billy Gilmour and Scott McTominay - Scotland could have a tough time reversing their recent slump. Although Poland are similarly short in certain areas, they do possess a lethal finisher and can match their hosts' work rate, so the Eagles may leave Glasgow with maximum points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scotland win with a probability of 39.23%. A win for Poland had a probability of 33.74% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Scotland win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.35%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Poland win was 0-1 (9.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Poland would win this match.

Result
Scotland	Draw	Poland
39.23% ( -1.44)	27.03% ( 0.18)	33.74% ( 1.26)

Both teams to score 50.57% (

-0.24)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.31% (

-0.45)

54.69% (

0.46)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.99% (

-0.38)

76.01% (

0.38)

Scotland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.79% (

-1)

27.21% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.37% (

-1.32)

62.63% (

1.32)

Poland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.47% (

0.61)

30.53% (

-0.61)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.25% (

0.71)

66.75% (

-0.71)

Score Analysis

Scotland 39.23%

Poland 33.74%

Draw 27.02%

Scotland	Draw	Poland
1-0 @ 10.81% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 8.35% ( -0.19) 2-0 @ 7.04% ( -0.28) 3-1 @ 3.62% ( -0.19) 3-0 @ 3.05% ( -0.21) 3-2 @ 2.15% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 1.18% ( -0.1) 4-0 @ 0.99% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.04% Total : 39.23%	1-1 @ 12.82% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 8.31% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 4.95% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.94% Total : 27.02%	0-1 @ 9.86% ( 0.33) 1-2 @ 7.61% ( 0.17) 0-2 @ 5.85% ( 0.29) 1-3 @ 3.01% ( 0.12) 0-3 @ 2.31% ( 0.15) 2-3 @ 1.96% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.15% Total : 33.74%