SM
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Netherlands | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | France | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Poland | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 4 | Austria | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Netherlands | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | France | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Poland | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 4 | Austria | 1 | -1 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Poland win with a probability of 36.94%. A win for Austria had a probability of 36.1% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Poland win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.08%) and 2-0 (6.49%). The likeliest Austria win was 0-1 (10.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Poland | Draw | Austria |
36.94% ( -0.11) | 26.95% ( -0.04) | 36.1% ( 0.15) |
| Both teams to score 51.06% ( 0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.81% ( 0.15) | 54.19% ( -0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.4% ( 0.12) | 75.59% ( -0.12) |
| Poland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.71% ( 0.01) | 28.29% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.99% ( 0.01) | 64.01% ( -0.01) |
| Austria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.2% ( 0.16) | 28.79% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.35% ( 0.2) | 64.64% ( -0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Poland | Draw | Austria |
| 1-0 @ 10.28% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 8.08% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6.49% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 3.4% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.73% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.12% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.07% ( -0)Other @ 2.75% Total : 36.94% | 1-1 @ 12.8% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.15% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 5.03% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.95% | 0-1 @ 10.14% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.97% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 6.31% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 3.31% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 2.62% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.09% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.63% Total : 36.1% |
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