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Euro Champ Qualifying | Final
Mar 26, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Cardiff City Stadium
PN

Wales
0 - 0
Poland

Poland win 5-4 on penalties

James (55'), Mepham (98')
Mepham (120+1')
FT
(aet)

Piotrowski (50'), Zalewski (72')

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Wales 4-1 Finland
Thursday, March 21 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Current Group D Standings P GD PTS
1Turkey8717
2Croatia8916
3Wales8012
4Armenia8-28
5Latvia8-143
All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Poland 5-1 Estonia
Thursday, March 21 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wales win with a probability of 45.57%. A win for Poland had a probability of 27.86% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wales win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (8.52%). The likeliest Poland win was 0-1 (8.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.

Result
WalesDrawPoland
45.57% (0.736 0.74) 26.57% (-0.206 -0.21) 27.86% (-0.53 -0.53)
Both teams to score 49.45% (0.266 0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.05% (0.503 0.5)54.95% (-0.5 -0.5)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.77% (0.415 0.41)76.23% (-0.413 -0.41)
Wales Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.95% (0.581 0.58)24.05% (-0.579 -0.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.68% (0.82100000000001 0.82)58.32% (-0.818 -0.82)
Poland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.11% (-0.149 -0.15)34.89% (0.15 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.37% (-0.159 -0.16)71.63% (0.161 0.16)
Score Analysis
    Wales 45.56%
    Poland 27.86%
    Draw 26.57%
WalesDrawPoland
1-0 @ 11.95% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-1 @ 8.97% (0.09 0.09)
2-0 @ 8.52% (0.12 0.12)
3-1 @ 4.26% (0.113 0.11)
3-0 @ 4.05% (0.123 0.12)
3-2 @ 2.24% (0.051 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.52% (0.064 0.06)
4-0 @ 1.44% (0.067 0.07)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 45.56%
1-1 @ 12.59% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-0 @ 8.39% (-0.165 -0.16)
2-2 @ 4.72% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 26.57%
0-1 @ 8.84% (-0.21 -0.21)
1-2 @ 6.63% (-0.072 -0.07)
0-2 @ 4.65% (-0.13 -0.13)
1-3 @ 2.33% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.66% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 1.63% (-0.053 -0.05)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 27.86%

Read more!
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Form Guide
Last Game: Wales 4-1 Finland
Thursday, March 21 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Wales 1-1 Turkey
Tuesday, November 21 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Armenia 1-1 Wales
Saturday, November 18 at 2pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Wales 2-1 Croatia
Sunday, October 15 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Wales 4-0 Gibraltar
Wednesday, October 11 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Latvia 0-2 Wales
Monday, September 11 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Poland 5-1 Estonia
Thursday, March 21 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Poland 2-0 Latvia
Tuesday, November 21 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Poland 1-1 Czech Republic
Friday, November 17 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Poland 1-1 Moldova
Sunday, October 15 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Faroe Islands 0-2 Poland
Thursday, October 12 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Albania 2-0 Poland
Sunday, September 10 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying


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