SM
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Senegal | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| 2 | Cameroon | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Guinea | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Gambia | 1 | -3 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Senegal win with a probability of 57.24%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Cameroon had a probability of 16.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Senegal win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.8%) and 2-1 (8.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.48%), while for a Cameroon win it was 0-1 (7.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Senegal would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Senegal | Draw | Cameroon |
57.24% ( 2.06) | 26.1% ( -0.58) | 16.66% ( -1.48) |
| Both teams to score 38.1% ( -0.96) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.07% ( 0.1) | 62.93% ( -0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.59% ( 0.08) | 82.41% ( -0.08) |
| Senegal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.73% ( 0.92) | 22.27% ( -0.92) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.29% ( 1.37) | 55.71% ( -1.37) |
| Cameroon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 49.01% ( -1.84) | 50.99% ( 1.84) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 14.67% ( -1.27) | 85.33% ( 1.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| Senegal | Draw | Cameroon |
| 1-0 @ 17.05% ( 0.4) 2-0 @ 12.8% ( 0.63)2-1 @ 8.63% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 6.41% ( 0.48)3-1 @ 4.32% ( 0.11)4-0 @ 2.41% ( 0.24)4-1 @ 1.62% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 1.46% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.53% Total : 57.23% | 1-1 @ 11.48% ( -0.35) 0-0 @ 11.35% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 2.91% ( -0.16)Other @ 0.35% Total : 26.09% | 0-1 @ 7.65% ( -0.45) 1-2 @ 3.87% ( -0.33)0-2 @ 2.58% ( -0.3)Other @ 2.57% Total : 16.66% |
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