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Africa Cup of Nations | Group Stage
Jan 15, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stade de Yamoussoukro
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Senegal
3 - 0
Gambia

Gueye (4'), Camara (52', 86')
Diallo (9'), Camara (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Adams (45+7')

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Senegal 1-0 Niger
Monday, January 8 at 6pm in International Friendlies
All competitions
Last Game: Gambia 0-2 Ivory Coast
Monday, November 20 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

We said: Senegal 2-0 Gambia

The defending champions come into the tournament in excellent form and are worthy favourites to defend their crown. They have not conceded a single goal in over 400 minutes of football, and we fancy they will manage to shut out their opponents in this one as well and claim their first win of the competition. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Senegal win with a probability of 67.27%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Gambia had a probability of 10.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Senegal win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (16.12%) and 3-0 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.02%), while for a Gambia win it was 0-1 (5.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Senegal would win this match.

Result
SenegalDrawGambia
67.27% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02) 22.53% (0.0069999999999979 0.01) 10.2% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
Both teams to score 31.97% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.85% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)62.15% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.15% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)81.85% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Senegal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.91% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)18.09% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.98% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)49.02% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Gambia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
39.03% (0.015999999999998 0.02)60.97% (-0.014999999999993 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
8.86% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)91.13% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Senegal 67.26%
    Gambia 10.2%
    Draw 22.52%
SenegalDrawGambia
1-0 @ 18.85%
2-0 @ 16.12%
3-0 @ 9.19% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.98% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 4.55%
4-0 @ 3.93% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.94% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-0 @ 1.34% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 1.13%
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 67.26%
0-0 @ 11.02%
1-1 @ 9.33% (0.0040000000000013 0)
2-2 @ 1.97% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 22.52%
0-1 @ 5.46% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-2 @ 2.31% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-2 @ 1.35% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.08%
Total : 10.2%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Senegal 1-0 Niger
Monday, January 8 at 6pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Togo 0-0 Senegal
Tuesday, November 21 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last Game: Senegal 4-0 South Sudan
Saturday, November 18 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last Game: Senegal 1-0 Cameroon
Monday, October 16 at 7.30pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Senegal 0-1 Algeria
Tuesday, September 12 at 8pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Senegal 1-1 Rwanda
Saturday, September 9 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Gambia 0-2 Ivory Coast
Monday, November 20 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last Game: Burundi 3-2 Gambia
Thursday, November 16 at 1pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last Game: Gambia 2-2 Congo
Sunday, September 10 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: South Sudan 2-3 Gambia
Wednesday, June 14 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Gambia 1-0 Mali
Tuesday, March 28 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Mali 2-0 Gambia
Friday, March 24 at 7pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying


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