SM
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Senegal | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Cameroon | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Guinea | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Gambia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Senegal win with a probability of 67.27%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Gambia had a probability of 10.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Senegal win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (16.12%) and 3-0 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.02%), while for a Gambia win it was 0-1 (5.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Senegal would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Senegal | Draw | Gambia |
67.27% ( -0.02) | 22.53% ( 0.01) | 10.2% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 31.97% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.85% ( -0) | 62.15% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.15% ( -0) | 81.85% ( 0) |
| Senegal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.91% ( -0.01) | 18.09% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.98% ( -0.01) | 49.02% ( 0.01) |
| Gambia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 39.03% ( 0.02) | 60.97% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 8.86% ( 0.01) | 91.13% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Senegal | Draw | Gambia |
| 1-0 @ 18.85% 2-0 @ 16.12% 3-0 @ 9.19% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 7.98% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.55% 4-0 @ 3.93% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.94% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.34% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.24% Total : 67.26% | 0-0 @ 11.02% 1-1 @ 9.33% ( 0)2-2 @ 1.97% ( 0)Other @ 0.2% Total : 22.52% | 0-1 @ 5.46% ( 0) 1-2 @ 2.31% ( 0)0-2 @ 1.35% ( 0)Other @ 1.08% Total : 10.2% |
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