SM
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Netherlands | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Senegal | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Ecuador | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Qatar | 3 | -6 | 0 |
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ivory Coast | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Equatorial Guinea | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Sierra Leone | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Algeria | 3 | -3 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Senegal win with a probability of 38.65%. A win for Algeria had a probability of 32.76% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Senegal win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.91%) and 2-0 (7.38%). The likeliest Algeria win was 0-1 (11.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Senegal | Draw | Algeria |
38.65% ( 0.71) | 28.58% ( -0.06) | 32.76% ( -0.65) |
| Both teams to score 45.76% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.39% ( 0.11) | 60.61% ( -0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.3% ( 0.08) | 80.7% ( -0.08) |
| Senegal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.59% ( 0.48) | 30.41% ( -0.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.39% ( 0.57) | 66.61% ( -0.57) |
| Algeria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.76% ( -0.4) | 34.23% ( 0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.07% ( -0.43) | 70.93% ( 0.43) |
| Score Analysis |
| Senegal | Draw | Algeria |
| 1-0 @ 12.39% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 7.91% ( 0.09)2-0 @ 7.38% ( 0.16)3-1 @ 3.14% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 2.93% ( 0.1)3-2 @ 1.68% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 0.93% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.29% Total : 38.65% | 1-1 @ 13.28% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 10.41% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 4.24% ( 0)Other @ 0.65% Total : 28.58% | 0-1 @ 11.16% ( -0.16) 1-2 @ 7.12% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 5.98% ( -0.16)1-3 @ 2.54% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 2.14% ( -0.08)2-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.31% Total : 32.76% |
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