SM
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Senegal | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Cameroon | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Guinea | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Gambia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Senegal win with a probability of 73.85%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for South Sudan had a probability of 8.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Senegal win was 2-0 with a probability of 16.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (15.73%) and 3-0 (11.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.07%), while for a South Sudan win it was 0-1 (3.92%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Senegal would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Senegal | Draw | South Sudan |
73.85% ( -0.02) | 18.11% ( 0.01) | 8.04% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 34.98% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.42% ( -0.02) | 52.57% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.77% ( -0.02) | 74.23% ( 0.01) |
| Senegal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.23% ( -0.01) | 12.76% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.96% ( -0.02) | 39.04% ( 0.02) |
| South Sudan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 40.1% ( 0.01) | 59.9% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 9.4% ( 0.01) | 90.6% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Senegal | Draw | South Sudan |
| 2-0 @ 16.19% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 15.73% 3-0 @ 11.11% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 8.3% ( 0)4-0 @ 5.72% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.7% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.93% ( -0)5-0 @ 2.36% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.46% 5-1 @ 1.21% ( -0)Other @ 3.12% Total : 73.83% | 1-1 @ 8.07% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.65% ( 0)2-2 @ 2.13% ( 0)Other @ 0.27% Total : 18.11% | 0-1 @ 3.92% ( 0) 1-2 @ 2.07% ( 0)0-2 @ 1% ( 0)Other @ 1.05% Total : 8.04% |
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