SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Dzerzhinsk win with a probability of 40.45%. A win for Shakhtyor Soligorsk had a probability of 33.37% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Dzerzhinsk win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.63%) and 0-2 (6.99%). The likeliest Shakhtyor Soligorsk win was 1-0 (8.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arsenal Dzerzhinsk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Shakhtyor Soligorsk | Draw | Arsenal Dzerzhinsk |
33.37% ( -0.03) | 26.18% ( -0.04) | 40.45% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 53.18% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.68% ( 0.14) | 51.32% ( -0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.85% ( 0.12) | 73.14% ( -0.12) |
| Shakhtyor Soligorsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.9% ( 0.05) | 29.09% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.98% ( 0.06) | 65.01% ( -0.06) |
| Arsenal Dzerzhinsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75% ( 0.1) | 25% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.34% ( 0.14) | 59.66% ( -0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shakhtyor Soligorsk | Draw | Arsenal Dzerzhinsk |
| 1-0 @ 8.98% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 7.69% ( -0)2-0 @ 5.54% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.16% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.28% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.19% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 0.98% ( 0)Other @ 2.55% Total : 33.37% | 1-1 @ 12.44% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.27% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 5.33% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.17% | 0-1 @ 10.08% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 8.63% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 6.99% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.99% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 3.23% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.46% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.38% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.12% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.56% Total : 40.44% |
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