SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Dnepr Mogilev | 11 | -14 | 5 |
| 15 | Arsenal Dzerzhinsk | 10 | -10 | 4 |
| 16 | Dinamo Brest | 10 | -11 | 4 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | FC Minsk | 10 | 4 | 19 |
| 5 | Shakhtyor Soligorsk | 10 | 7 | 18 |
| 6 | Isloch | 11 | 3 | 18 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtyor Soligorsk win with a probability of 52.96%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Arsenal Dzerzhinsk had a probability of 20.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtyor Soligorsk win was 0-1 with a probability of 15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.08%) and 1-2 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.15%), while for an Arsenal Dzerzhinsk win it was 1-0 (8.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shakhtyor Soligorsk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Arsenal Dzerzhinsk | Draw | Shakhtyor Soligorsk |
20.58% ( 0.11) | 26.47% ( 0.01) | 52.96% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 42.83% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.04% ( 0.06) | 59.96% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.8% ( 0.05) | 80.21% ( -0.05) |
| Arsenal Dzerzhinsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.5% ( 0.16) | 44.5% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.47% ( 0.13) | 80.53% ( -0.13) |
| Shakhtyor Soligorsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.17% ( -0.03) | 22.83% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.45% ( -0.05) | 56.56% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Arsenal Dzerzhinsk | Draw | Shakhtyor Soligorsk |
| 1-0 @ 8.23% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 4.92% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 3.33% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 1.33% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 0.98% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.79% Total : 20.58% | 1-1 @ 12.15% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 10.16% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 3.63% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.52% Total : 26.46% | 0-1 @ 15% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 11.08% ( -0.04)1-2 @ 8.97% ( 0)0-3 @ 5.46% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 4.42% ( -0)0-4 @ 2.02% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.79% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.63% ( -0)Other @ 2.59% Total : 52.95% |
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