SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a BATE Borisov win with a probability of 56.61%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Shakhtyor Soligorsk had a probability of 19.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a BATE Borisov win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.78%) and 1-2 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.3%), while for a Shakhtyor Soligorsk win it was 1-0 (6.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that BATE Borisov would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Shakhtyor Soligorsk | Draw | BATE Borisov |
19.56% ( -0.2) | 23.83% ( 0.29) | 56.61% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 48.53% ( -1.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.38% ( -1.37) | 51.62% ( 1.38) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.59% ( -1.21) | 73.41% ( 1.21) |
| Shakhtyor Soligorsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.23% ( -1.01) | 40.77% ( 1.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.65% ( -0.92) | 77.35% ( 0.93) |
| BATE Borisov Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.94% ( -0.53) | 18.06% ( 0.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.03% ( -0.92) | 48.96% ( 0.93) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shakhtyor Soligorsk | Draw | BATE Borisov |
| 1-0 @ 6.61% ( 0.18) 2-1 @ 5.07% ( -0.09)2-0 @ 2.96% ( -0)3-1 @ 1.52% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 1.3% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.11% Total : 19.56% | 1-1 @ 11.3% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 7.36% ( 0.4)2-2 @ 4.34% ( -0.15)Other @ 0.82% Total : 23.82% | 0-1 @ 12.6% ( 0.47) 0-2 @ 10.78% ( 0.22)1-2 @ 9.68% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 6.15% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 5.52% ( -0.14)0-4 @ 2.63% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.48% ( -0.13)1-4 @ 2.36% ( -0.1)2-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.08)0-5 @ 0.9% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.44% Total : 56.61% |
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