SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gomel win with a probability of 60.44%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Shakhtyor Soligorsk had a probability of 17.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gomel win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.15%) and 1-2 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.56%), while for a Shakhtyor Soligorsk win it was 1-0 (5.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gomel would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Shakhtyor Soligorsk | Draw | Gomel |
17.34% ( -0.11) | 22.22% ( -0.11) | 60.44% ( 0.21) |
| Both teams to score 49.47% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.67% ( 0.29) | 48.32% ( -0.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.53% ( 0.26) | 70.47% ( -0.26) |
| Shakhtyor Soligorsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.58% ( 0.04) | 41.42% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.07% ( 0.04) | 77.92% ( -0.04) |
| Gomel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.45% ( 0.17) | 15.55% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.51% ( 0.31) | 44.49% ( -0.31) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shakhtyor Soligorsk | Draw | Gomel |
| 1-0 @ 5.68% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 4.66% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 2.5% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 1.37% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.27% ( 0)Other @ 1.86% Total : 17.34% | 1-1 @ 10.56% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 6.44% ( -0.08)2-2 @ 4.33% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.88% Total : 22.21% | 0-1 @ 11.98% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 11.15% 1-2 @ 9.83% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 6.92% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 6.1% ( 0.04)0-4 @ 3.22% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 2.84% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.69% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.25% ( 0.02)0-5 @ 1.2% ( 0.02)1-5 @ 1.06% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.21% Total : 60.44% |
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