SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtyor Soligorsk win with a probability of 57.08%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Naftan had a probability of 20.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtyor Soligorsk win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.9%) and 0-2 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.68%), while for a Naftan win it was 1-0 (5.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Naftan | Draw | Shakhtyor Soligorsk |
20.35% ( 1.91) | 22.57% ( 0.95) | 57.08% ( -2.87) |
| Both teams to score 53.66% ( 0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.58% ( -1.42) | 45.42% ( 1.42) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.25% ( -1.37) | 67.75% ( 1.37) |
| Naftan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.64% ( 1.21) | 36.36% ( -1.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.85% ( 1.2) | 73.15% ( -1.2) |
| Shakhtyor Soligorsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.32% ( -1.41) | 15.67% ( 1.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.28% ( -2.67) | 44.72% ( 2.68) |
| Score Analysis |
| Naftan | Draw | Shakhtyor Soligorsk |
| 1-0 @ 5.77% ( 0.52) 2-1 @ 5.41% ( 0.4)2-0 @ 2.92% ( 0.35)3-1 @ 1.82% ( 0.19)3-2 @ 1.69% ( 0.1)3-0 @ 0.98% ( 0.15)Other @ 1.77% Total : 20.35% | 1-1 @ 10.68% ( 0.47) 0-0 @ 5.7% ( 0.34)2-2 @ 5.01% ( 0.14)3-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.56% | 0-1 @ 10.56% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 9.9% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 9.79% ( -0.37)1-3 @ 6.12% ( -0.34)0-3 @ 6.05% ( -0.55)2-3 @ 3.09% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 2.83% ( -0.31)0-4 @ 2.8% ( -0.41)2-4 @ 1.43% ( -0.11)1-5 @ 1.05% ( -0.17)0-5 @ 1.04% ( -0.21)Other @ 2.42% Total : 57.08% |
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