SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torpedo-BelAZ win with a probability of 53.85%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Gomel had a probability of 21.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torpedo-BelAZ win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.19%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.67%), while for a Gomel win it was 0-1 (7.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Torpedo-BelAZ | Draw | Gomel |
53.85% ( 0.12) | 24.6% ( -0.02) | 21.55% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 49.12% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.68% ( -0.02) | 52.32% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.98% ( -0.02) | 74.01% ( 0.02) |
| Torpedo-BelAZ Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.62% ( 0.04) | 19.37% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.83% ( 0.07) | 51.17% ( -0.07) |
| Gomel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.92% ( -0.12) | 39.07% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.21% ( -0.11) | 75.79% ( 0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Torpedo-BelAZ | Draw | Gomel |
| 1-0 @ 12.42% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 10.19% ( 0.03)2-1 @ 9.58% ( 0)3-0 @ 5.58% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 5.24% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.46% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.29% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.15% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.91% Total : 53.84% | 1-1 @ 11.67% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.57% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.5% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.85% Total : 24.59% | 0-1 @ 7.11% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 5.49% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 3.34% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.44% Total : 21.55% |
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