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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtyor Soligorsk win with a probability of 47.21%. A win for Smorgon had a probability of 28.12% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtyor Soligorsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Smorgon win was 0-1 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Shakhtyor Soligorsk | Draw | Smorgon |
47.21% ( -0.41) | 24.67% ( 0.27) | 28.12% ( 0.15) |
| Both teams to score 55.57% ( -0.78) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.95% ( -1.07) | 47.05% ( 1.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.71% ( -1.01) | 69.29% ( 1.01) |
| Shakhtyor Soligorsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80% ( -0.6) | 20% ( 0.6) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.82% ( -0.97) | 52.18% ( 0.97) |
| Smorgon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.45% ( -0.45) | 30.55% ( 0.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.23% ( -0.53) | 66.77% ( 0.53) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shakhtyor Soligorsk | Draw | Smorgon |
| 1-0 @ 9.83% ( 0.26) 2-1 @ 9.38% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 7.91% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 5.04% ( -0.12)3-0 @ 4.25% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.99% ( -0.11)4-1 @ 2.03% ( -0.09)4-0 @ 1.71% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.2% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.88% Total : 47.21% | 1-1 @ 11.65% ( 0.16) 0-0 @ 6.11% ( 0.27)2-2 @ 5.57% ( -0.09)3-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.66% | 0-1 @ 7.24% ( 0.23) 1-2 @ 6.91% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.3% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 2.73% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.2% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 1.7% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.04% Total : 28.12% |
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