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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtyor Soligorsk win with a probability of 50.76%. A win for Smorgon had a probability of 26.38% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtyor Soligorsk win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.29%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Smorgon win was 1-2 (6.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shakhtyor Soligorsk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Shakhtyor Soligorsk | Draw | Smorgon |
50.76% ( 0.05) | 22.87% ( 0.01) | 26.38% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 60.25% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.79% ( -0.11) | 40.21% ( 0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.42% ( -0.12) | 62.58% ( 0.12) |
| Shakhtyor Soligorsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.99% ( -0.02) | 16.01% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.67% ( -0.04) | 45.33% ( 0.04) |
| Smorgon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.73% ( -0.11) | 28.27% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.01% ( -0.13) | 63.99% ( 0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shakhtyor Soligorsk | Draw | Smorgon |
| 2-1 @ 9.6% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.29% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 7.6% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 5.86% 3-0 @ 4.64% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.7% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.69% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.13% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.7% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 0.98% ( -0)Other @ 3.58% Total : 50.76% | 1-1 @ 10.47% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.06% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.53% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.25% Total : 22.86% | 1-2 @ 6.62% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.72% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.61% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.79% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.55% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.58% Total : 26.38% |
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