SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheffield Wednesday win with a probability of 46.2%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 28.15% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sheffield Wednesday win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (8.23%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 0-1 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sheffield Wednesday would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sheffield Wednesday | Draw | Cardiff City |
46.2% ( 0.05) | 25.66% ( 0.01) | 28.15% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 52.4% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.79% ( -0.08) | 51.21% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.95% ( -0.07) | 73.05% ( 0.07) |
| Sheffield Wednesday Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.85% ( -0.01) | 22.15% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.46% ( -0.02) | 55.54% ( 0.02) |
| Cardiff City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.31% ( -0.09) | 32.69% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.76% ( -0.1) | 69.24% ( 0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sheffield Wednesday | Draw | Cardiff City |
| 1-0 @ 10.91% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.2% ( 0)2-0 @ 8.23% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 4.62% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.13% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.58% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.74% 4-0 @ 1.56% ( 0)4-2 @ 0.97% ( -0)Other @ 2.25% Total : 46.19% | 1-1 @ 12.2% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.24% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.14% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.65% | 0-1 @ 8.1% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.82% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.53% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.54% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.92% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.56% Total : 28.15% |
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