SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 49.92%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 24.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 2-0 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.1%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 0-1 (7.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cardiff City | Draw | Birmingham City |
49.92% ( 0.35) | 25.5% ( 0.17) | 24.58% ( -0.52) |
| Both teams to score 49.93% ( -0.99) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47% ( -1.06) | 53% ( 1.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.41% ( -0.91) | 74.59% ( 0.91) |
| Cardiff City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.75% ( -0.28) | 21.25% ( 0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.84% ( -0.44) | 54.16% ( 0.43) |
| Birmingham City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.41% ( -1.03) | 36.59% ( 1.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.62% ( -1.05) | 73.37% ( 1.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cardiff City | Draw | Birmingham City |
| 1-0 @ 12.04% ( 0.4) 2-1 @ 9.38% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 9.33% ( 0.23)3-1 @ 4.84% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 4.82% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 2.43% ( -0.1)4-1 @ 1.87% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.86% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.41% Total : 49.92% | 1-1 @ 12.1% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 7.77% ( 0.32)2-2 @ 4.71% ( -0.15)Other @ 0.9% Total : 25.49% | 0-1 @ 7.82% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 6.09% ( -0.14)0-2 @ 3.93% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 2.04% ( -0.11)2-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.1)0-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.06)Other @ 1.81% Total : 24.58% |
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