SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hull City win with a probability of 51.74%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Cardiff City had a probability of 23.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hull City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 2-0 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.53%), while for a Cardiff City win it was 0-1 (6.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hull City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hull City | Draw | Cardiff City |
51.74% ( 0.1) | 24.28% ( 0.13) | 23.97% ( -0.23) |
| Both teams to score 52.98% ( -0.68) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.33% ( -0.77) | 48.67% ( 0.77) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.21% ( -0.71) | 70.78% ( 0.71) |
| Hull City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.2% ( -0.26) | 18.79% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.79% ( -0.43) | 50.21% ( 0.43) |
| Cardiff City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.24% ( -0.63) | 34.76% ( 0.63) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.51% ( -0.67) | 71.49% ( 0.67) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hull City | Draw | Cardiff City |
| 1-0 @ 10.92% ( 0.26) 2-1 @ 9.65% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 9.13% ( 0.14)3-1 @ 5.38% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 5.09% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.84% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 2.25% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 2.13% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.19% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.19% Total : 51.75% | 1-1 @ 11.53% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 6.53% ( 0.21)2-2 @ 5.1% ( -0.1)3-3 @ 1% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.28% | 0-1 @ 6.9% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 6.1% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 3.65% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.15% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.09% Total : 23.97% |
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