SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 52.84%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 23.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.69%) and 2-0 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.47%), while for a Plymouth Argyle win it was 0-1 (6.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cardiff City | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
52.84% ( -0.03) | 24.13% ( -0.01) | 23.02% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 52.36% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.05% ( 0.07) | 48.95% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.96% ( 0.06) | 71.04% ( -0.06) |
| Cardiff City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.52% ( 0.01) | 18.48% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.32% ( 0.02) | 49.68% ( -0.02) |
| Plymouth Argyle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.23% ( 0.07) | 35.77% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.46% ( 0.07) | 72.54% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cardiff City | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
| 1-0 @ 11.16% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.69% ( 0)2-0 @ 9.42% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 5.45% ( 0)3-0 @ 5.3% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.8% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.3% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.24% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.18% ( 0)Other @ 3.29% Total : 52.84% | 1-1 @ 11.47% 0-0 @ 6.61% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 4.98% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 0.96% ( 0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.13% | 0-1 @ 6.79% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.9% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.49% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.02% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.71% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.2% ( 0)Other @ 1.91% Total : 23.02% |
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