SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sirius win with a probability of 39%. A win for Elfsborg had a probability of 38.18% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sirius win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.9%) and 2-0 (4.97%). The likeliest Elfsborg win was 1-2 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.83%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sirius would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sirius | Draw | Elfsborg |
39% ( 0.1) | 22.82% ( -0.04) | 38.18% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 66.1% ( 0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.12% ( 0.2) | 34.87% ( -0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.15% ( 0.22) | 56.85% ( -0.22) |
| Sirius Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.49% ( 0.13) | 18.51% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.26% ( 0.22) | 49.74% ( -0.22) |
| Elfsborg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.12% ( 0.06) | 18.88% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.64% ( 0.1) | 50.35% ( -0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sirius | Draw | Elfsborg |
| 2-1 @ 8.29% ( 0) 1-0 @ 5.9% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 4.97% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.66% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.89% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.8% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.97% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.64% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.18% ( 0.01)4-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.81% Total : 39% | 1-1 @ 9.83% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 6.91% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 3.5% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 2.16% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.43% Total : 22.82% | 1-2 @ 8.19% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 5.83% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 4.86% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 4.55% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.84% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.7% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.9% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.6% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.13% ( -0)Other @ 3.59% Total : 38.18% |
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