SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elfsborg win with a probability of 65.38%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Sirius had a probability of 15.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elfsborg win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 1-0 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.12%), while for a Sirius win it was 1-2 (4.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Elfsborg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Elfsborg | Draw | Sirius |
65.38% ( -0.2) | 19.43% ( -0.27) | 15.19% ( 0.48) |
| Both teams to score 53.93% ( 2.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.99% ( 2.26) | 40% ( -2.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.63% ( 2.3) | 62.37% ( -2.29) |
| Elfsborg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.53% ( 0.61) | 11.47% ( -0.6) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.7% ( 1.3) | 36.3% ( -1.29) |
| Sirius Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.91% ( 2.05) | 39.09% ( -2.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.19% ( 1.87) | 75.81% ( -1.87) |
| Score Analysis |
| Elfsborg | Draw | Sirius |
| 2-0 @ 10.51% ( -0.58) 2-1 @ 9.87% ( 0.02)1-0 @ 9.71% ( -0.78)3-0 @ 7.59% ( -0.23)3-1 @ 7.13% ( 0.18)4-0 @ 4.11% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 3.86% ( 0.19)3-2 @ 3.35% ( 0.26)4-2 @ 1.81% ( 0.18)5-0 @ 1.78% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 1.67% ( 0.12)Other @ 3.99% Total : 65.38% | 1-1 @ 9.12% ( -0.21) 2-2 @ 4.64% ( 0.26)0-0 @ 4.48% ( -0.48)3-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.13)Other @ 0.15% Total : 19.43% | 1-2 @ 4.28% ( 0.14) 0-1 @ 4.21% ( -0.2)0-2 @ 1.98% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.45% ( 0.16)1-3 @ 1.34% ( 0.11)Other @ 1.93% Total : 15.19% |
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