SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hammarby win with a probability of 43.96%. A win for Sirius had a probability of 33.19% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hammarby win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.58%) and 0-2 (5.84%). The likeliest Sirius win was 2-1 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hammarby would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sirius | Draw | Hammarby |
33.19% ( 0.27) | 22.85% ( -0.03) | 43.96% ( -0.24) |
| Both teams to score 64.89% ( 0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.97% ( 0.24) | 36.03% ( -0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.87% ( 0.26) | 58.13% ( -0.26) |
| Sirius Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.12% ( 0.26) | 21.88% ( -0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.88% ( 0.39) | 55.12% ( -0.39) |
| Hammarby Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.06% | 16.93% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.99% ( 0) | 47.01% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sirius | Draw | Hammarby |
| 2-1 @ 7.6% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 5.63% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 4.28% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.85% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 3.42% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 2.17% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.46% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.3% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.49% Total : 33.19% | 1-1 @ 10% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.75% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 3.71% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 2.02% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.38% Total : 22.85% | 1-2 @ 8.88% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 6.58% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 5.84% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 5.26% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 3.99% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.46% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 2.33% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.77% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.54% ( -0.02)Other @ 4.31% Total : 43.96% |
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