SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hammarby win with a probability of 42.79%. A win for Sirius had a probability of 32.51% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hammarby win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.74%) and 0-2 (6.79%). The likeliest Sirius win was 2-1 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Hammarby in this match.
| Result | ||
| Sirius | Draw | Hammarby |
32.51% ( 0.19) | 24.7% ( -0.03) | 42.79% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 57.89% ( 0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.91% ( 0.18) | 45.09% ( -0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.56% ( 0.17) | 67.44% ( -0.17) |
| Sirius Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.4% ( 0.2) | 26.59% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.18% ( 0.27) | 61.82% ( -0.27) |
| Hammarby Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.86% | 21.13% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.02% ( 0) | 53.98% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sirius | Draw | Hammarby |
| 2-1 @ 7.66% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 7.44% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 4.93% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.38% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.63% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.18% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.12% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.17% Total : 32.51% | 1-1 @ 11.57% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.96% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 5.62% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.7% | 1-2 @ 8.99% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 8.74% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 6.79% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 4.66% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.52% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 3.09% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.81% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.37% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.2% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.63% Total : 42.79% |
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