With a place in the League Phase of the Champions League at stake, we are expecting a cagey affair between two sides who are unbeaten in competitive action so far this summer.
Given their home advantage, Slovan Bratislava should have enough to edge out a hard-fought contest, sending the Danish champions back to Scandinavia heartbroken.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slovan Bratislava win with a probability of 39.02%. A win for FC Midtjylland had a probability of 36.96% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Slovan Bratislava win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.28%) and 2-0 (5.66%). The likeliest FC Midtjylland win was 1-2 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Slovan Bratislava would win this match.