SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slovan Bratislava win with a probability of 37.86%. A win for Celje had a probability of 37.24% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Slovan Bratislava win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.15%) and 2-0 (5.88%). The likeliest Celje win was 1-2 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Slovan Bratislava would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Slovan Bratislava | Draw | Celje |
37.86% ( -0.22) | 24.9% ( 0.03) | 37.24% ( 0.19) |
| Both teams to score 58.13% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.82% ( -0.14) | 45.18% ( 0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.47% ( -0.13) | 67.52% ( 0.13) |
| Slovan Bratislava Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.41% ( -0.18) | 23.59% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.33% ( -0.26) | 57.67% ( 0.26) |
| Celje Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.08% ( 0.04) | 23.92% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.87% ( 0.06) | 58.13% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Slovan Bratislava | Draw | Celje |
| 2-1 @ 8.42% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 8.15% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 5.88% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 4.05% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.9% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 2.83% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.46% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.05% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.02% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.09% Total : 37.86% | 1-1 @ 11.65% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.02% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 5.64% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.89% | 1-2 @ 8.34% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 8.07% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 5.77% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 3.98% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.87% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.75% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 1.42% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.03% 0-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.02% Total : 37.24% |
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