APOEL will have home advantage on Tuesday, which counts for a lot, but we are finding it very difficult to imagine this tie being turned around. Both teams have quality in the final third of the field, and we are expecting an entertaining draw, with Bratislava progressing to the playoff round of the Champions League.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a APOEL win with a probability of 40.72%. A win for Slovan Bratislava had a probability of 32.94% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an APOEL win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.63%) and 2-0 (7.12%). The likeliest Slovan Bratislava win was 0-1 (9.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
