SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Minsk win with a probability of 41.96%. A win for Smorgon had a probability of 30.74% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Minsk win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.55%) and 0-2 (7.82%). The likeliest Smorgon win was 1-0 (9.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Smorgon | Draw | FC Minsk |
30.74% ( -0.34) | 27.31% ( -0.48) | 41.96% ( 0.82) |
| Both teams to score 48.81% ( 1.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.51% ( 1.67) | 56.49% ( -1.67) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.51% ( 1.33) | 77.49% ( -1.33) |
| Smorgon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.48% ( 0.63) | 33.52% ( -0.63) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.84% ( 0.69) | 70.16% ( -0.68) |
| FC Minsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.43% ( 1.23) | 26.57% ( -1.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.22% ( 1.6) | 61.78% ( -1.59) |
| Score Analysis |
| Smorgon | Draw | FC Minsk |
| 1-0 @ 9.73% ( -0.46) 2-1 @ 7.05% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 5.32% ( -0.16)3-1 @ 2.57% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 1.94% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.7% ( 0.09)Other @ 2.43% Total : 30.74% | 1-1 @ 12.9% ( -0.15) 0-0 @ 8.91% ( -0.59)2-2 @ 4.67% ( 0.18)Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.3% | 0-1 @ 11.8% ( -0.35) 1-2 @ 8.55% ( 0.19)0-2 @ 7.82% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 3.78% ( 0.21)0-3 @ 3.46% ( 0.14)2-3 @ 2.07% ( 0.15)1-4 @ 1.25% ( 0.11)0-4 @ 1.15% ( 0.08)Other @ 2.08% Total : 41.95% |
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