Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sochaux win with a probability of 55.37%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 21.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sochaux win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 2-0 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.72%), while for a Lorient win it was 0-1 (5.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sochaux would win this match.
0.24) 
-0.13) 
