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Sunday, April 28
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SK
Asian Cup | Group Stage
Jan 25, 2024 at 11.30am UK
Al Janoub Stadium
MN

South Korea
3 - 3
Malaysia

Woo-yeong (21'), Kang-in (83'), Heung-min (90+4' pen.)
Jae-sung (19')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Halim (51'), Aiman (62' pen.), Morales (90+15')

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Asian Cup
Last Game: Jordan 2-2 South Korea
Saturday, January 20 at 11.30am in Asian Cup
All competitions
Asian Cup
Last Game: Bahrain 1-0 Malaysia
Saturday, January 20 at 2.30pm in Asian Cup

We said: South Korea 4-0 Malaysia

The Koreans have had a much tougher group stage than many had anticipated, but they are facing a side coming off a demoralising defeat, which could work to the advantage of the Tigers of Asia. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Korea win with a probability of 70.09%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Malaysia had a probability of 11.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a South Korea win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.73%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.76%), while for a Malaysia win it was 0-1 (4.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.

Result
South KoreaDrawMalaysia
70.09% (0.13199999999999 0.13) 18.42% (-0.035 -0.04) 11.49% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)
Both teams to score 46.61% (-0.207 -0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.82% (-0.105 -0.1)44.18% (0.105 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.44% (-0.102 -0.1)66.56% (0.101 0.1)
South Korea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.6% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)11.4% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.84% (0.014000000000003 0.01)36.16% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Malaysia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.6% (-0.239 -0.24)47.39% (0.24 0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.22% (-0.179 -0.18)82.78% (0.18000000000001 0.18)
Score Analysis
    South Korea 70.07%
    Malaysia 11.49%
    Draw 18.42%
South KoreaDrawMalaysia
2-0 @ 12.73% (0.06 0.06)
1-0 @ 11.73% (0.06 0.06)
2-1 @ 9.51% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
3-0 @ 9.22% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
3-1 @ 6.89% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-0 @ 5.01% (0.028 0.03)
4-1 @ 3.74% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.57% (-0.021 -0.02)
5-0 @ 2.17% (0.013 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.62% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.4% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 70.07%
1-1 @ 8.76% (-0.017000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.4% (0.024 0.02)
2-2 @ 3.55% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 18.42%
0-1 @ 4.04% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
1-2 @ 3.27% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-2 @ 1.51% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 11.49%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Jordan 2-2 South Korea
Saturday, January 20 at 11.30am in Asian Cup
Last Game: South Korea 3-1 Bahrain
Monday, January 15 at 11.30am in Asian Cup
Last Game: Iraq 0-1 South Korea
Saturday, January 6 at 1pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: China 0-3 South Korea
Tuesday, November 21 at 12pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Last Game: South Korea 5-0 Singapore
Thursday, November 16 at 11am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Last Game: South Korea 6-0 Vietnam
Tuesday, October 17 at 12pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Bahrain 1-0 Malaysia
Saturday, January 20 at 2.30pm in Asian Cup
Last Game: Malaysia 0-4 Jordan
Monday, January 15 at 5.30pm in Asian Cup
Last Game: Syria 2-2 Malaysia
Monday, January 8 at 5.30pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Chinese Taipei 0-1 Malaysia
Tuesday, November 21 at 11am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Last Game: Malaysia 4-3 Kyrgyzstan
Thursday, November 16 at 1pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Last Game: Malaysia 0-2 Tajikistan
Tuesday, October 17 at 2pm in International Friendlies


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