SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malaysia win with a probability of 67.83%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Tajikistan had a probability of 12.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malaysia win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.93%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.38%), while for a Tajikistan win it was 0-1 (4.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Malaysia | Draw | Tajikistan |
67.83% ( -1.06) | 19.83% ( 0.2) | 12.34% ( 0.87) |
| Both teams to score 44.79% ( 2.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.89% ( 1.24) | 48.11% ( -1.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.73% ( 1.13) | 70.27% ( -1.12) |
| Malaysia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.82% ( 0.07) | 13.18% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.1% ( 0.13) | 39.9% ( -0.13) |
| Tajikistan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.59% ( 2.28) | 48.41% ( -2.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.47% ( 1.6) | 83.53% ( -1.6) |
| Score Analysis |
| Malaysia | Draw | Tajikistan |
| 2-0 @ 13.1% ( -0.61) 1-0 @ 12.93% ( -0.64)2-1 @ 9.5% ( 0.18)3-0 @ 8.85% ( -0.4)3-1 @ 6.42% ( 0.14)4-0 @ 4.48% ( -0.19)4-1 @ 3.25% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 2.33% ( 0.19)5-0 @ 1.82% ( -0.07)5-1 @ 1.32% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.18% ( 0.1)Other @ 2.65% Total : 67.83% | 1-1 @ 9.38% ( 0.16) 0-0 @ 6.38% ( -0.33)2-2 @ 3.45% ( 0.28)Other @ 0.62% Total : 19.83% | 0-1 @ 4.63% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 3.4% ( 0.27)0-2 @ 1.68% ( 0.13)Other @ 2.63% Total : 12.34% |
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