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World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Second Round
Nov 16, 2023 at 1pm UK
 
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Malaysia
4 - 3
Kyrgyzstan

Cools (7', 77'), Brauzman (72' og.), Halim (90+3')
Aiman (19'), Cools (36')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Zhyrgalbek Uulu (42'), Batyrkanov (44'), Merk (57')
Alykulov (19'), Abdurakhmanov (35')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Malaysia 0-2 Tajikistan
Tuesday, October 17 at 2pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Kyrgyzstan 0-1 Philippines
Sunday, October 15 at 8am in International Friendlies

We said: Malaysia 1-1 Kyrgyzstan

With these two sides both likely to have their sights set on finishing second behind Oman in Group D, this could be a hugely competitive clash as they look to qualify for a World Cup for the first time in their histories. Malaysia head into the match in better form and will have home advantage on their side, but Kyrgyzstan are ranked 40 places higher in FIFA's world rankings, so we expect them to be able to avoid defeat and build from there. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malaysia win with a probability of 66.21%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Kyrgyzstan had a probability of 14.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malaysia win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.45%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.21%), while for a Kyrgyzstan win it was 0-1 (4.31%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Malaysia would win this match.

Result
MalaysiaDrawKyrgyzstan
66.21%19.45%14.34%
Both teams to score 51.62% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.06%41.94%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.65% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)64.34%
Malaysia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.19%11.8%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.97%37.03%
Kyrgyzstan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.53% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)41.47% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.03%77.97%
Score Analysis
    Malaysia 66.2%
    Kyrgyzstan 14.34%
    Draw 19.45%
MalaysiaDrawKyrgyzstan
2-0 @ 11.17%
1-0 @ 10.45%
2-1 @ 9.84%
3-0 @ 7.96% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 7.01% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-0 @ 4.25%
4-1 @ 3.74%
3-2 @ 3.08%
5-0 @ 1.82%
4-2 @ 1.65%
5-1 @ 1.6%
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 66.2%
1-1 @ 9.21%
0-0 @ 4.9%
2-2 @ 4.33%
3-3 @ 0.91%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 19.45%
0-1 @ 4.31%
1-2 @ 4.05%
0-2 @ 1.9%
2-3 @ 1.27%
1-3 @ 1.19%
Other @ 1.62%
Total : 14.34%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Malaysia 0-2 Tajikistan
Tuesday, October 17 at 2pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Malaysia 4-2 India
Friday, October 13 at 2pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: China 1-1 Malaysia
Saturday, September 9 at 12.35pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Malaysia 2-2 Syria
Wednesday, September 6 at 10am in International Friendlies
Last Game: Malaysia 10-0 P. New Guinea
Tuesday, June 20 at 2pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Malaysia 4-1 Solomon Islands
Wednesday, June 14 at 2pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Kyrgyzstan 0-1 Philippines
Sunday, October 15 at 8am in International Friendlies
Last Game: Bahrain 2-0 Kyrgyzstan
Thursday, October 12 at 5pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Kyrgyzstan 3-1 Kuwait
Monday, September 11 at 5pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: India 2-0 Kyrgyzstan
Tuesday, March 28 at 1.30pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Myanmar 1-1 Kyrgyzstan
Saturday, March 25 at 12.30pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Kyrgyzstan 1-2 Russia
Saturday, September 24 at 3pm in International Friendlies


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