SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 69.11%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Preston North End had a probability of 12.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.75%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.76%), while for a Preston North End win it was 0-1 (3.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Southampton would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Southampton | Draw | Preston North End |
69.11% ( -0.01) | 18.45% ( 0) | 12.44% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 49.58% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.15% ( -0.01) | 41.85% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.75% ( -0.01) | 64.25% ( 0) |
| Southampton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.99% ( -0.01) | 11.01% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 64.7% ( -0.01) | 35.3% ( 0.01) |
| Preston North End Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.71% ( -0) | 44.28% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 19.64% ( -0) | 80.35% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Southampton | Draw | Preston North End |
| 2-0 @ 11.86% 1-0 @ 10.75% 2-1 @ 9.67% ( 0)3-0 @ 8.73% ( -0)3-1 @ 7.11% ( -0)4-0 @ 4.82% ( -0)4-1 @ 3.92% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.9% 5-0 @ 2.13% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.73% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.6% ( -0)Other @ 3.89% Total : 69.09% | 1-1 @ 8.76% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.87% ( 0)2-2 @ 3.94% Other @ 0.88% Total : 18.45% | 0-1 @ 3.97% ( 0) 1-2 @ 3.57% 0-2 @ 1.62% 2-3 @ 1.07% 1-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.25% Total : 12.44% |
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