On the back of losing to Birmingham, Preston's belief may have been impacted in the short term, and facing an improving Watford side has come at the wrong time. We feel that the Hornets could do enough to edge this contest by the odd goal in three, helped by a fast start to the contest.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 46.12%. A win for Preston North End had a probability of 27.53% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (8.58%). The likeliest Preston North End win was 0-1 (8.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
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