SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 51.89%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 27.51% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.4%) and 2-0 (5.69%). The likeliest Southampton win was 1-2 (6.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.13%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ipswich Town | Draw | Southampton |
51.89% ( -2.37) | 20.59% ( 0.54) | 27.51% ( 1.82) |
| Both teams to score 69.86% ( -0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 71.88% ( -1.06) | 28.12% ( 1.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 51.11% ( -1.33) | 48.89% ( 1.32) |
| Ipswich Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.61% ( -0.98) | 11.39% ( 0.98) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.86% ( -2.17) | 36.13% ( 2.17) |
| Southampton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.83% ( 0.55) | 21.16% ( -0.55) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.97% ( 0.85) | 54.03% ( -0.85) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ipswich Town | Draw | Southampton |
| 2-1 @ 8.83% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.4% ( -0.27)2-0 @ 5.69% ( -0.1)1-0 @ 5.24% ( 0.12)3-2 @ 4.97% ( -0.12)3-0 @ 4.12% ( -0.24)4-1 @ 3.47% ( -0.29)4-2 @ 2.7% ( -0.18)4-0 @ 2.24% ( -0.23)5-1 @ 1.51% ( -0.2)4-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.07)5-2 @ 1.17% ( -0.13)5-0 @ 0.97% ( -0.15)Other @ 3.19% Total : 51.89% | 1-1 @ 8.13% ( 0.32) 2-2 @ 6.86% ( 0.11)3-3 @ 2.57% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 2.41% ( 0.15)Other @ 0.62% Total : 20.59% | 1-2 @ 6.31% ( 0.35) 0-1 @ 3.74% ( 0.29)2-3 @ 3.55% ( 0.12)1-3 @ 3.27% ( 0.23)0-2 @ 2.91% ( 0.27)0-3 @ 1.5% ( 0.16)2-4 @ 1.38% ( 0.07)1-4 @ 1.27% ( 0.11)3-4 @ 1% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.58% Total : 27.51% |
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