Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain win with a probability of 47.98%. A win for Denmark had a probability of 28.26% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spain win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.76%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest Denmark win was 1-2 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Spain would win this match.

Result
Spain	Draw	Denmark
47.98% ( 0.2)	23.77% ( -0.02)	28.26% ( -0.18)

Both teams to score 58.71% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.05% (

-0.02)

42.96% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.64% (

-0.02)

65.36% (

0.03)

Spain Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.93% (

0.07)

18.07% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.01% (

0.12)

48.99% (

-0.11)

Denmark Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.66% (

-0.13)

28.34% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.93% (

-0.17)

64.07% (

0.18)

Score Analysis

Spain 47.98%

Denmark 28.26%

Draw 23.76%

Spain	Draw	Denmark
2-1 @ 9.45% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 8.76% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 7.5% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 5.39% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 4.27% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.4% 4-1 @ 2.31% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.83% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.45% ( 0) Other @ 3.62% Total : 47.98%	1-1 @ 11.04% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.96% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.12% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.76%	1-2 @ 6.97% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 6.46% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 4.07% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.93% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.5% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.7% Total : 28.26%