SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 73.65%. A draw had a probability of 16.1% and a win for Hansa Rostock had a probability of 10.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.43%) and 1-0 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.55%), while for a Hansa Rostock win it was 0-1 (3.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Pauli would win this match.
| Result | ||
| St Pauli | Draw | Hansa Rostock |
73.65% ( 0.03) | 16.05% ( -0.01) | 10.3% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 50.83% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.57% ( -0.01) | 36.43% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.43% ( -0.01) | 58.57% ( 0.01) |
| St Pauli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.5% ( 0) | 8.5% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 70.55% ( 0.01) | 29.45% ( -0.01) |
| Hansa Rostock Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.55% ( -0.05) | 44.45% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 19.51% ( -0.04) | 80.49% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| St Pauli | Draw | Hansa Rostock |
| 2-0 @ 11.48% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 9.43% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 9.31% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 9.31% ( -0)3-1 @ 7.65% ( -0)4-0 @ 5.81% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 4.71% 3-2 @ 3.1% ( -0)5-0 @ 2.87% ( 0)5-1 @ 2.32% 4-2 @ 1.91% ( -0)6-0 @ 1.18% ( 0)6-1 @ 0.96% 5-2 @ 0.94% ( -0)Other @ 2.66% Total : 73.65% | 1-1 @ 7.55% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.78% ( 0)2-2 @ 3.77% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.95% Total : 16.05% | 0-1 @ 3.06% ( -0) 1-2 @ 3.06% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 1.24% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.02% ( -0)Other @ 1.91% Total : 10.3% |
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