Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 52.16%. A win for Hansa Rostock had a probability of 25.25% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.35%) and 0-2 (7.81%). The likeliest Hansa Rostock win was 2-1 (6.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Pauli would win this match.

Result
Hansa Rostock	Draw	St Pauli
25.25% ( 0.1)	22.59% ( -0.14)	52.16% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 60.06% (

0.58)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.06% (

0.73)

39.94% (

-0.73)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.69% (

0.75)

62.3% (

-0.75)

Hansa Rostock Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.01% (

0.46)

28.98% (

-0.47)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.12% (

0.57)

64.87% (

-0.57)

St Pauli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.58% (

0.27)

15.42% (

-0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.75% (

0.51)

44.24% (

-0.51)

Score Analysis

Hansa Rostock 25.25%

St Pauli 52.16%

Draw 22.58%

Hansa Rostock	Draw	St Pauli
2-1 @ 6.41% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 5.53% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 3.43% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 2.65% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.47% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 1.42% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.35% Total : 25.25%	1-1 @ 10.34% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 5.99% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 4.47% ( -0.15) 3-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.25% Total : 22.58%	1-2 @ 9.67% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 8.35% ( -0.21) 0-2 @ 7.81% ( -0.12) 1-3 @ 6.03% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 4.87% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 3.73% ( 0.08) 1-4 @ 2.82% ( 0.05) 0-4 @ 2.28% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.75% ( 0.05) 1-5 @ 1.05% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.8% Total : 52.16%