Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 56.93%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Hansa Rostock had a probability of 19.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.01%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.32%), while for a Hansa Rostock win it was 0-1 (6.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for St Pauli in this match.

Result
St Pauli	Draw	Hansa Rostock
56.93% ( 0.21)	23.91% ( 0.12)	19.16% ( -0.32)

Both teams to score 47.65% (

-0.84)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.53% (

-0.85)

52.47% (

0.86)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.86% (

-0.73)

74.14% (

0.74)

St Pauli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.74% (

-0.24)

18.26% (

0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.7% (

-0.41)

49.3% (

0.41)

Hansa Rostock Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.29% (

-0.85)

41.71% (

0.85)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.82% (

-0.75)

78.18% (

0.76)

Score Analysis

St Pauli 56.92%

Hansa Rostock 19.16%

Draw 23.91%

St Pauli	Draw	Hansa Rostock
1-0 @ 12.95% ( 0.34) 2-0 @ 11.01% ( 0.2) 2-1 @ 9.63% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 6.24% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 5.46% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 2.65% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.39% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 2.32% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.02% ( -0.05) 5-0 @ 0.9% ( -0) Other @ 2.35% Total : 56.92%	1-1 @ 11.32% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.62% ( 0.26) 2-2 @ 4.21% ( -0.12) Other @ 0.77% Total : 23.91%	0-1 @ 6.66% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 4.95% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 2.91% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.07) Other @ 1.97% Total : 19.16%